H ere's where Tammy is located right now . Hurricane Tammy Flooding ...
and where it's headed: Tammy's center is just east of Guadeloupe as it moves toward the northwest. Tammy has actually reinforced modestly given that Friday night.
The storm enhanced into a typhoon on Friday early morning in the tropical Atlantic. This is an uncommon area for a hurricane to form this late in the year, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a tropical researcher at Colorado State University.
By early in the week ahead, Tammy ought to turn northward, then northeastward out to sea and not be a concern for the continental United States.
The path northward away from the Caribbean has actually ended up being less particular. Tammy was initially anticipated to be captured by a cold front by the middle of the upcoming week, however computer guidance is now recommending that the storm might wander around in between Puerto Rico and Bermuda for a long time.
Cyclone Katrina (August 2005) ended up being a big and extremely effective typhoon that triggered huge damage and significant death. It is the costliest hurricane to ever hit the United States, surpassing the record previously held by Cyclone Andrew from 1992.
Hurricane Katrina - Wikipedia
The largest loss of life in Cyclone Katrina was because of flooding caused by engineering defects in the flood defense system, especially the levee around the city of New Orleans. Eventually, 80% of the city, as well as large locations in neighboring parishes, were flooded for weeks.
Hurricane warnings have now been provided for several islands in the northeast Caribbean. That indicates typhoon conditions are anticipated in a few of these locations. You can see the most recent warnings and watches in the map below.
Heavy rainfall, strong winds and high surf from Tammy should spread throughout the eastern Caribbean islands through Saturday. Those effects will last through at least early Sunday in some locations.
Rain overalls could be 4 to 8 inches (locally as much as 12 inches) in the Leeward Islands. The northern Windward Islands might see 2 to 4 inches of rain (in your area approximately 6 inches). Parts of eastern Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands might see 1 to 2 inches of rainfall (in your area up to 4 inches).
T he heavy rainfall might cause flooding and mudslides in some of these areas.
Norma, now a Category 1 storm since 2 p.m. ET, is expected to move over or near parts of Mexico's Baja California Sur-- including Cabo San Lucas-- late Saturday afternoon or early evening, the National Hurricane Center said.
Air Force Reserve Cyclone Hunters observed Norma's center situated offshore just west of Cabo San Lucas on Saturday afternoon, and hurricane and conditions were taking place over some locations of of southern Baja California Sur, according to the typhoon center.
Norma is expected to be slightly weaker by the time it strikes land, but it still will be a typhoon that might bring dangerous conditions to a tourist-friendly region that's home to a few hundred thousand people, the hurricane center said.
In the Atlantic Ocean, on the other hand, Hurricane Tammy-- a Classification 1 storm as of Saturday afternoon-- has set off hurricane warnings for portions of the Leeward Islands, a chain of a number of island nations and areas between the Caribbean Sea and the open Atlantic. Tammy's winds gained ground to 85 miles per hour.
Neither storm is a threat to the United States.
In the Atlantic, Tammy preserved optimal sustained winds of 85 mph and was centered about 25 miles north-northeast of Guadeloupe, the National Hurricane Center stated at 2 p.m. ET.
The Classification 1 typhoon lay about 50 miles southeast of Antigua by Saturday afternoon, the cyclone center stated.
Tammy is expected to move near or over parts of the Leeward Islands-- including Guadeloupe and Antigua and Barbuda-- through Saturday night, and after that move north of the northern Leeward Islands on Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds extended external as much as 25 miles from the storm's center and tropical storm-force winds extended outward as much as 125 miles.
Hurricanes in this part of the Atlantic are rare for late October. Tammy is just the 3rd hurricane to form this far southeast in the Atlantic since 1900, according to typhoon professional Michael Lowry.
It's also the latest-forming cyclone in this part of the Atlantic since 1966, according to Phil Klotzbach, a research researcher in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University.
Cyclone specialists previously warned cyclones might form in uncommon locations later in the season this year because of the incredibly warm Atlantic Ocean.
A storm surge of 1 to 3 feet is possible for parts of the Leeward Islands.
Heavy rainfall will be one of the storm's most serious threats and might lead to flash flooding and mudslides. Rainfall overalls for the Leeward Islands are anticipated to be 4 to 8 inches, but could reach a foot in places where the heaviest rain establishes. Rain must be lighter in Puerto Rico and the British and United States Virgin Islands, where 1 to 2 inches of rain is probably.
Conditions will begin to improve from south to north throughout the island chain by late Sunday as the storm moves north out of the area.
With Tammy in the Atlantic, only 2 names are left-- Vince and Whitney-- on the basic Atlantic storm name list before the cyclone center turns to an alternate list of names.
Hurricane Tammy